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Saturday, April 22, 2023

Asia Power Snapshot: China and the United States in Southeast Asia - The Interpreter

This Asia Power Snapshot adapts the methodology of the Lowy Institute Asia Power Index, an analytical tool developed by Lowy Institute Research Director Hervé Lemahieu. The Asia Power Index measures the comprehensive power of 26 countries based on a weighting of 133 indicators across eight measures. Further information about the Asia Power Index methodology is available here.

The Asia Power Snapshot measures the influence of the United States and China in the ten countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). The Snapshot is based on 42 indicators across four measures and does not include the resource-based determinants of national power (military capability, economic capability, future resources and resilience). This is because these measures cannot be disaggregated to a sub-regional level. Several indicators used in the Asia Power Index were excluded as they were not directly relevant to influence in Southeast Asia, and in some cases, new indicators were inserted.

Scaled scores

For each indicator, a score of 100 is assigned for influence in each constituent country of Southeast Asia, plus a score of 100 for Southeast Asia as a whole. Each set of 100 points is divided between China and the United States according to the ratio of their relevant value in that indicator. The score for Southeast Asia as a whole represents a weighted average of the individual country scores.

For example, over a ten-year period, China invested approximately US$163.55 billion in Southeast Asia, while the United States invested about US$105.80 billion. As US investment accounted for around 39 per cent of the total from both countries, and Chinese investment roughly 61 per cent, they were assigned scores of 39 and 61 respectively for this indicator.

e.g.

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Weightings

In compiling aggregate scores for each measure, and for overall influence in Southeast Asia, we have adopted the weightings used in the Asia Power Index, which reflect the dimensions of power considered most advantageous to countries given the current geopolitical landscape of the region.

Table 1: Asia Power Index weightings
Measure
Economic Relationships 33.33%
Defence Networks 22.22%
Diplomatic Influence 22.22%
Cultural Influence 22.22%

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Asia Power Snapshot: China and the United States in Southeast Asia - The Interpreter
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